Ferrari Group PLC (FERGR) | News Based Sentiment Analysis

• On September 16, 2025, Ferrari Group was identified as an "Undiscovered Gem," trading at 53.7% below its estimated fair value, a significant opportunity for investors. This undervaluation is supported by a 4.9% earnings growth over the past year, outperforming the logistics industry average of -2.5%, and positive free cash flow with EBIT covering interest payments 21.6 times.
• Deutsche Bank upgraded Ferrari’s stock (RACE) to “Buy” from “Hold” on September 2, 2025, anticipating ambitious midterm targets to be revealed at the October Capital Markets Day, causing a 1.3% increase in the share price in premarket trade. This upgrade signals growing analyst confidence in the company’s future performance.
• UBS Group raised its price target for Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) to $570.00 on September 9, 2025, up from $540.00, representing a potential 16.21% upside from the previous closing price. This aligns with a “Moderate Buy” consensus among Wall Street analysts, with an average price target of $531.67.
• From September 1 to September 5, 2025, Ferrari repurchased 56,285 common shares for a total of €23.69 million at an average price of €420.9794, continuing its Euro 2 billion share buyback program. This demonstrates a commitment to returning capital to shareholders and confidence in its financial position, having already invested €51.12 million to repurchase 123,751 shares since July 31, 2025.
• On September 19, 2025, Berenberg reaffirmed a 'Buy' rating for Ferrari (Euronext:FERGR) with a price target of €484, representing a potential 18.53% increase from the stock price of €411.3 EUR. Analyst Romain Gourvil acknowledged the impact of US tariffs on EU auto imports but highlighted strong sales and new models as mitigating factors.
• Ferrari Group’s revenue is diversified geographically, with Italy contributing 18.3%, Switzerland 17.5%, and France 9% as of September 19, 2025. The US accounts for 12.4% of revenue, while other key regions include Hong Kong (5.6%) and China (4.5%).
• As of September 5, 2025, Ferrari held 15,829,726 treasury common shares, representing 8.16% of the total issued common shares, and 8.75% including special voting shares. This active management of its capital structure allows for flexibility and potential future shareholder value creation.
• Ferrari Group generates 82.6% of its revenue from the transport and distribution of jewelry, precious stones, and luxury goods, as reported on September 19, 2025, with warehousing contributing 6.4% and other services like customs brokerage accounting for 11%.

The Investment Story: September was a remarkably positive month for Ferrari, characterized by strong analyst sentiment, a compelling undervaluation, and proactive capital allocation, all building anticipation for the October Capital Markets Day.

What It Means for Investors: These developments suggest a significant opportunity for investors, with multiple analysts highlighting the stock’s potential upside and the company demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value through share buybacks. The undervaluation metrics and positive earnings growth further strengthen the investment case.

Looking Ahead: Investors should closely monitor Ferrari’s Capital Markets Day in October for the unveiling of midterm targets and further details on the share buyback program. Continued tracking of analyst reactions and share price movements will also be crucial.

The Bottom Line: Ferrari is demonstrating robust financial health, a clear strategy for growth, and a commitment to shareholder value, supported by positive analyst sentiment and active capital management. The upcoming Capital Markets Day is a key event to watch for further insights.