ArcelorMittal (MT) | News Based Sentiment Analysis

• On September 19, 2025, ArcelorMittal reached a 52-week high of $35.32, demonstrating a year-to-date return of 51.47%. The company's Q2 2025 earnings significantly surpassed expectations, with EPS of $1.32 – a 25.71% surprise compared to the $1.05 forecast, and revenue hitting $15.93 billion versus the expected $15.44 billion. Despite this strong performance, the stock saw a 4.65% decline in pre-market trading.
• ArcelorMittal is actively pursuing sustainable practices, as evidenced by their September 15, 2025, partnership with Greif to launch EcoBalance™ Low Carbon Emission Steel (LCE) Drums. These drums, utilizing ArcelorMittal’s XCarb® recycled and renewably produced steel, boast a 60% reduction in carbon footprint compared to conventional drums, showcasing a commitment to environmentally responsible steelmaking.
• Institutional investors continue to show confidence in ArcelorMittal, with Connor Clark & Lunn increasing their stake by 22.0% and Bank of America by 56.7% as of September 11, 2025. This increased investment suggests a belief in the company’s long-term potential, even amidst ongoing challenges.
• The Liberian Senate lauded ArcelorMittal Liberia’s (AML) US$1.7 billion Phase II Expansion Project on September 22, 2025, calling it a “landmark development.” The project, expected to be completed by December 2025, will transition AML from direct ore shipment to value-added production, significantly boosting Liberia’s economy and creating jobs.
• Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook, with a consensus “Hold” rating based on 8 Wall Street analysts as of September 20, 2025. The average twelve-month stock price forecast is $33.45, with a range of $31.70 to $36.20, implying a potential downside of -5.21% from the current price of $35.29.
• ArcelorMittal’s stock demonstrated positive momentum throughout September, closing at 30.11 EUR on September 22, 2025, with increases of 0.13% in the last 24 hours, 1.49% over the past week, 5.14% for the month, and a substantial 38.25% increase over the last year.
• There was no insider trading activity reported within the last three months, with a closed period scheduled from September 30, 2025, to November 10, 2025, indicating adherence to corporate governance standards.

The Investment Story: September was a month of strong financial performance for ArcelorMittal, coupled with strategic investments in sustainability and expansion projects, all while maintaining institutional investor confidence and a cautiously optimistic analyst outlook.

What It Means for Investors: The company’s robust Q2 earnings and positive future projections suggest continued growth potential, but the mixed analyst sentiment and pre-market stock dip warrant careful monitoring. The expansion in Liberia and commitment to low-carbon steel production position ArcelorMittal favorably for long-term value creation.

Looking Ahead: Investors should closely watch the Q3 2025 earnings report expected on November 6, 2025, with consensus forecasts of $15.850 billion in revenue and $0.656 EPS. Monitoring the impact of the US tariffs and the progress of the Liberia expansion will also be crucial.

The Bottom Line: ArcelorMittal presents a compelling investment opportunity, balancing strong financial results with strategic initiatives in sustainability and growth. While challenges remain, the company’s adaptability and commitment to innovation suggest a positive trajectory for investors.