Thirumalai Chemicals (TIRUMALCHM) | News Based Sentiment Analysis

• On September 29, 2025, Thirumalai Chemicals reported a consolidated net loss of ₹-59.96 crore for the quarter ended September 2025, and a full-year loss of ₹-46.10 crore on total income of ₹2,049.51 crore. This follows a prior report of a 2% revenue decrease to ₹2,049.5 crore for FY2025, alongside a 19% increase in Profit After Tax (PAT) to ₹46.1 crore, highlighting conflicting financial data. The share price decreased by 2.50% to ₹285.00 on September 29, 2025, with a market capitalization of ₹2,918 crore.
• Shareholding patterns shifted significantly between December 2024 and August 2025. Promoter holding decreased from 41.92% to 36.13%, and Indian Public holding declined from 43.19% to 40.48%. However, Mutual Funds (UTI) substantially increased their stake from 0.69% to 7.91%, and Non-Institutional Investors grew their holding from 10.85% to 12.17%.
• Ramya Bharathram, the Managing Director & CFO of Thirumalai Chemicals, was elected as the first female President of the Indian Chemical Council (ICC) on September 22, 2025. This appointment is a notable achievement for the company's leadership and enhances its industry recognition.
• As of September 25, 2025, Thirumalai Chemicals was trading at ₹296.85, with short-term price targets indicating a downside potential to ₹290.03 and an upside target of ₹302.33. This suggests a relatively narrow trading range in the near term.
• Earlier in the month, on September 17, 2025, the share price saw a slight increase to ₹324.50, up 0.45% from ₹323.05, despite recent financial challenges. This minor uptick followed volatility between September 7th and 12th, where the price fluctuated between ₹306.10 and ₹320.00.
• Despite the recent quarterly losses, the company's technical trend shifted to bullish as of September 12, 2025, supported by indicators like the weekly MACD, bullish Bollinger Bands, and positive daily moving averages. This positive technical outlook contrasts with the disappointing quarterly results.
• Long-term forecasts remain optimistic, anticipating a stock price of 474.315 INR by September 20, 2030, representing a potential revenue increase of approximately 48.71% over five years, and a rise to 351.388 INR in one year (+10.17% earning potential).

The Investment Story: September 2025 was a month of contrasts for Thirumalai Chemicals, marked by disappointing financial results, shifting shareholding patterns, and a positive technical outlook. The election of their CFO to a prominent industry position adds a bright spot to an otherwise challenging period.

What It Means for Investors: The conflicting financial data and recent losses create significant uncertainty. While the bullish technical trend and long-term forecasts offer some hope, investors should proceed with caution and closely monitor future earnings reports and the company’s ability to address its financial challenges.

Looking Ahead: Investors should watch for clarification in future financial reporting and track the sustainability of the bullish technical trend. The shifts in shareholding patterns also warrant attention, particularly the increased stake by Mutual Funds (UTI).

The Bottom Line: Thirumalai Chemicals remains a high-risk, potentially high-reward investment. The company’s future hinges on its ability to improve financial performance, resolve conflicting data, and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities.