Mondelez (MDLZ) | News Based Sentiment Analysis

• On September 23, 2025, Mondelez reported a strong quarterly earnings beat, with EPS reaching $0.73, exceeding the $0.68 consensus estimate. This positive performance, coupled with revenue surpassing expectations at $8.98 billion versus the $8.82 billion estimate, signaled robust execution and a 7.7% year-over-year increase.
• Following the positive earnings report on September 23, 2025, the company raised its FY 2025 EPS guidance to $3.10, exceeding the previous analyst expectation of $2.90. Analysts project EPS of $3.02 for fiscal year 2025 and $3.26 for fiscal year 2026, demonstrating continued confidence in future profitability.
• Demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns, Mondelez increased its quarterly dividend to $0.50 per share on September 23, 2025, up from $0.47, resulting in an annualized dividend of $2.00 and a 3.1% yield. Shareholders of record on September 30th will receive the dividend on October 14th.
• Institutional investors continued to show confidence in Mondelez throughout September. GAMMA Investing LLC increased its stake by 43.2% to 26,230 shares valued at approximately $1.77 million, as of September 23, 2025, while Covea Finance increased its holdings by 10.4% acquiring an additional 17,200 shares valued at approximately $12.3 million.
• Analysts generally maintain a "Hold" rating on MDLZ as of September 15, 2025, with a consensus price target around $75 from 28 analysts. However, forecasts range from a low of $60 (Goldman Sachs) to a high of $88 (Bernstein), suggesting a potential upside of nearly 20% from current levels.
• Mondelez demonstrated improved market share in its Snacks segment, with 75% of its revenue in this category gaining or holding share in the latest quarter, a significant increase from 35% in the previous quarter (as of September 17, 2025). This indicates successful strategies in a key growth area.
• A new product, initially announced on July 30, 2025, became available nationwide in September 2025, potentially contributing to future revenue growth.

The Investment Story: September was a remarkably positive month for Mondelez, characterized by strong earnings, increased guidance, a dividend hike, and growing institutional investor confidence. The company is actively strengthening its position in the snacks market while returning value to shareholders.

What It Means for Investors: These developments reinforce Mondelez as a relatively stable and attractive investment, particularly for income-focused investors. The company’s strong financial performance and strategic initiatives support continued growth potential, despite some ongoing market challenges.

Looking Ahead: Investors should monitor cocoa price trends and the impact of the West African harvest, as well as track the performance of new product launches and the continued strength of the snacks segment.

The Bottom Line: Mondelez delivered a solid month, solidifying its position as a reliable dividend payer with a clear strategy for growth and market share gains. The company’s ability to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities positions it well for long-term success.